Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1238.483828 1401.680112 1581.106624 1793.475808 2038.562327 2313.217732 2645.281002
2025-11-30 996.922919 1217.919139 1482.736507 1825.458497 2260.165108 2796.996417 3516.055056
2025-12-07 831.580275 1067.771605 1367.255678 1778.679922 2335.135858 3070.080715 4128.368719
2025-12-14 714.671711 954.320458 1272.098278 1730.054963 2382.594322 3293.429169 4686.719565
2025-12-21 622.718704 859.106701 1184.525907 1672.862615 2400.383874 3465.555541 5183.461912
2025-12-28 582.977781 829.550234 1181.322792 1730.151250 2583.912771 3893.833660 6120.355487
2026-01-04 541.424669 791.690031 1160.175269 1755.372309 2717.970983 4259.024404 7007.830409
2026-01-11 503.424282 754.465168 1134.825160 1768.999947 2832.046577 4602.516497 7906.924061
2026-01-18 469.906266 720.344795 1109.944899 1778.948986 2938.614973 4943.381838 8850.211733
2026-01-25 447.790600 701.708632 1107.031003 1823.469720 3107.239767 5410.621291 10098.890812
2026-02-01 424.600079 678.952645 1094.727682 1849.643030 3244.923648 5837.550982 11337.213102
2026-02-08 402.118572 655.216965 1078.221022 1865.881903 3364.956723 6244.851197 12601.420131
2026-02-15 381.100620 632.837191 1063.088632 1885.021512 3496.828131 6701.299884 14072.037956
2026-02-22 363.997100 615.845795 1055.942545 1918.413801 3661.235064 7248.311898 15853.481373
2026-03-01 336.548590 578.198797 1008.240909 1868.962585 3652.158358 7430.242172 16821.037949
2026-03-08 311.597821 543.061873 962.076975 1817.550264 3632.213210 7584.573936 17749.022649
2026-03-15 287.850001 508.340285 913.836609 1757.093462 3585.618206 7672.500536 18526.365077
2026-03-22 281.146108 504.817675 924.432457 1817.652085 3809.558007 8411.684591 21152.676885
2026-03-29 270.863601 493.660665 919.188274 1844.317291 3960.645075 9000.965607 23501.467559
2026-04-05 259.973086 480.483607 908.795136 1858.726381 4085.021435 9543.288122 25838.120549
2026-04-12 249.466421 467.272433 897.215169 1869.246431 4201.320207 10082.699555 28290.171401
2026-04-19 243.276798 462.193123 901.813507 1916.327484 4412.340228 10902.283876 31805.247597
2026-04-26 235.591270 453.506051 898.138236 1944.009835 4578.484096 11628.234429 35204.556019